{"id":6267,"date":"2016-06-11T06:00:05","date_gmt":"2016-06-11T10:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.zoocasa.com\/blog\/?p=6267"},"modified":"2016-06-10T17:30:44","modified_gmt":"2016-06-10T21:30:44","slug":"debt-levels-rising-demand-remains-high-bank-of-canada-reports","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.zoocasa.com\/blog\/debt-levels-rising-demand-remains-high-bank-of-canada-reports\/","title":{"rendered":"Debt Levels Rising, Demand Remains High: Bank of Canada Reports"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6268\" src=\"http:\/\/www.zoocasa.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/6044910841_f8bda02f01_b.jpg\" alt=\"vancouver-downtown-traffic\" width=\"750\" height=\"498\" data-id=\"6268\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.zoocasa.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/6044910841_f8bda02f01_b.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.zoocasa.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/6044910841_f8bda02f01_b-300x199.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Canada\u2019s semi-annual Financial Systems Review was released on Thursday, and points to a few specific risks to homeowners. Below, we\u2019ve taken a look at these risks, as well as some cautious optimism from the report.<\/p>\n<p><strong>High loan-to-income ratio mortgages are on the rise<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In December\u2019s report, it was shown that there was an increased amount of household indebtedness, and that trend is continuing. Canadians in Vancouver and Toronto are taking on increased ratios of debt-to-income in their mortgages.<\/p>\n<p>A mortgage\u2019s loan-to-income ratio (LTI) is your mortgage debt level relative to your current income. The higher the ratio, the more relative risk you are taking on, as higher future interest rates will more greatly impact someone with a high LTI mortgage.<\/p>\n<p>The commonly compared LTI ratio\u2014450%\u2014increased from 12% of all insured mortgages originating in 2014, and 15% in 2015. This accounts for 24% of all mortgage debt that originated in 2015.<\/p>\n<p>The percentage of insured mortgages with high LTI ratios is on the rise in every part of Canada, but is greatest in Toronto, Calgary, Hamilton, and Vancouver.<\/p>\n<p>That said, this doesn\u2019t reflect how homeowners are dealing with these debt levels.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cArrears rates on mortgages have actually been going down in recent years in Ontario and BC,\u201d says Lauren Haw, CEO of Zoocasa. \u201cThis is attributable in part to growth in the employment levels in these regions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Canada\u2019s housing markets are now three pronounced divisions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2016 has thus far divided the housing markets across the country into three sections, based on average price growth:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><em>The price spike\u2014BC and Ontario:<\/em> A year ago, we wouldn\u2019t have believed that these two markets could get any hotter, but they did. Toronto is up 15% over last May, and Vancouver is up a whopping 30%.<\/li>\n<li><em>The oil provinces\u2014Alberta, Newfoundland and Labrador, Saskatchewan:<\/em> Largely due to the downturn in oil, these three provinces are seeing a fall in housing prices, over 2% in the last year and 6% since the end of 2014.<\/li>\n<li><em>The rest of Canada<\/em> remains a balanced market, similar to sales and price points to this time last year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>A Correction Could Cause Negative-Equity Mortgages<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If there is a decrease in housing prices, it could put some mortgages in a position where the debt level is higher than the underlying value of the property.<\/p>\n<p>If house prices declined by 15%, as they did in the early 1990\u2019s in BC and Ontario, 13% of homes that currently have a mortgage would see these mortgages underwater. Approximately 60% of homes in Canada have a mortgage on them.<\/p>\n<p><strong>This isn\u2019t all doom and gloom<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The demand in the cities of Toronto and Vancouver remains high, due to limited supply of homes to purchase. This promotes encouraging growth and sales in the surrounding GTA and GVA areas, with new developments in and around these centres.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe factors supporting the housing demand in Vancouver and Toronto are healthy,\u201d says Haw. \u201cIncreased migration to these areas keeps demand high, and employment gains allow homeowners to live and prosper in these cities.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Flickr: <a href=\"https:\/\/flic.kr\/p\/adaKoH\" target=\"_blank\">Magnus Larsson<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bank of Canada\u2019s semi-annual Financial Systems Review was released on Thursday, and points to a few specific risks to homeowners. Below, we\u2019ve taken a look at these risks, as well as some cautious optimism from the report. High loan-to-income ratio mortgages are on the rise In December\u2019s report, it was shown that there was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":27,"featured_media":6268,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":[],"jnews_primary_category":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[854,855,32,421],"class_list":["post-6267","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate-news","tag-boc","tag-reports","tag-toronto","tag-vancouver"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Debt Levels Rising, Demand Remains High: Bank of Canada Reports | Zoocasa Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Bank of Canada\u2019s semi-annual Financial Systems Review was released on Thursday, and points to a few specific risks to homeowners. 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